‘Black swans are random events that underlie our lives, impossible to predict: yet after they happen we always try to rationalise them..’ ~ Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Happy Book Lover’s day!!
I absolutely love books, usually read a few on the go. If you like myself, love learning & personal development then you’re in for a treat.
Nassim Taleb’s book ‘The Black Swan’ is full of ideas that will really get you thinking. Absolutely love it! I bought this book ages ago, & it sat on my bookshelf slowly gathering dust.
I used to reach for the Whodunnits instead. For some books, it takes a lot of concentration to take in the details, this I thought was one of them. Wrong! The prologue doesn’t flow, but the rest of the book makes a very enjoyable read.
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.
The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities.
We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” ~ Intro
Taleb is quite the philosopher.
Check it out ‘The Black Swan’ & please let me know what you think of it.
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